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\hbox to 6.28in { {\bf STAT 205~Probability Theo...
...ribe:} Saurabh Amin, {\it Editor:} Bradyn Breon-Drish \hfill }
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Prerequisites

One should be comfortable with basic measure theory concepts. These include the idea of a sigma field, probability measure, and probability space, $ \left(X,{\cal F},{\mathbb{P}}\right).$ Additionally, knowledge of random variables is necessary. These topics are covered in Sigma Fields, Probability Measures, and Random Variables

Summary

A real-valued random variable, $ X:\left(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, {\mathbb{P}}\right) \to \left(S, \mathcal{S}\right)$ induces a probability measure on $ S.$ For the case of real-valued random variables this measure is called the distribution of $ X$ and is usually described by its cumulative distribution function, $ F_X(x) := {\mathbb{P}}\left( X \leq x \right).$

Probability Distributions

If $ X:\left(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, {\mathbb{P}}\right) \to \left(S, \mathcal{S}\right)$ is an $ \mathcal{F} $-measuable r.v., then $ X$ induces a probability measure on $ \mathcal{S}$. For $ A \in \mathcal{S},$ set $ \mu\left(A\right):={\mathbb{P}}\left(X \in A\right)={\mathbb{P}}\left(X^{-1}(A)\right)$. It is easy to check that $ \mu$ thus defined is a probability measure. For example, observe that for countably many disjoint $ A_i$'s, \begin{align*}
\mu\left(\cup_i A_i\right)={\mathbb{P}}\left(X^{-1}(\cup_i A_i)\r...
..._{i}{\mathbb{P}}\left(X^{-1}(A_i)\right)=\sum_i\mu\left(A_i\right).
\end{align*}
The other properties of a probability measure can be checked in a similar manner.

In the case that the r.v. $ X$ is real-valued, we say that that the induced measure is the distribution of X, and describe this measure by its cumulative distribution function (cdf), $ F_X(x):={\mathbb{P}}\left( X \leq x \right)$.

Theorem 1   A cdf $ F$ of some probability measure on $ {\mathbb{R}}$ has the following properties:
  1. $ F$ is a nondecreasing function of $ x$.
  2. $ \lim_{x\rightarrow\infty}F(x)=1$ and $ \lim_{x\rightarrow -\infty}F(x)=0.$
  3. $ F$ is right continuous, i.e., $ \lim_{y\downarrow x}F(y)=F(x).$
  4. If $ F(x-) = \lim_{y\uparrow x} F(y)$ then $ F(x-)= P(X<x).$
  5. $ P\left(X= x\right) = F(x) - F(x-).$

Proof.
  1. Note that for $ x\leq y,$ we have $ \{ X \leq x \} \subset \{ X \leq y \}$ so by the monotonicity of probability measures, $ {\mathbb{P}}\left( X \leq x \right) \leq {\mathbb{P}}\left(X \leq y \right).$
  2. Note that as $ x \uparrow \infty,$ we have $ \{ X \leq x\} \uparrow \Omega.$ Similarly, as $ a \downarrow -\infty,$ $ \{ X\leq x\} \downarrow \emptyset.$ By continuity of probability measures, the desired result follows.
  3. As $ y \downarrow x,$ we have $ \{ X \leq y \} \downarrow \{X \leq x\}. $ By continuity of probability measures, the result follows.
  4. As $ y \uparrow x,$ we have $ \{ X \leq y \} \uparrow \{X<x\}.$ By continuity of probability measures, the result follows.
  5. We have $ \{X \leq x\} = \{X=x\} \cup \{X<x\}. $ Since the events $ \{X=x\}$ and $ \{X<x\}$ are disjoint, this implies $ {\mathbb{P}}\left(X \leq x \right) = {\mathbb{P}}\left(X=x \right) + {\mathbb{P}}\left(X<x \right).$ Rearranging, we have $ {\mathbb{P}}\left(X=x \right) = {\mathbb{P}}\left(X \leq x \right) - {\mathbb{P}}\left(X<x \right) .$
$ \qedsymbol$

Theorem 2   If $ F$ satisfies the first three properties of Theorem [*], then it is the distribution function of some r.v. and there is a unique probability measure on $ ({\mathbb{R}},\mathcal{R})$ that has $ \mu\left((a,b]\right)=F(b)-F(a)$ for all $ a,b \in {\mathbb{R}},\ a \leq b$.

Proof. The proof follows the proof of Durrett's Theorem 1.2. Let $ F:{\mathbb{R}}\rightarrow(0,1)$ have properties $ 1,2,3$ in Theorem [*]. We will construct a r.v. defined on $ (\Omega,\mathcal{F},{\mathbb{P}})=((0,1),\mathcal{B}((0,1)),\lambda)$, where $ \lambda$ denotes Lebesgue measure, and show that it has distribution function $ F$.

Let \begin{align*}
X(\omega) = \sup\{y: F(y)<\omega \}.
\end{align*}
If we show that \begin{align*}
\{\omega : X(\omega) \leq x\} = \{ \omega : \omega \leq F(x) \}
\end{align*}
then the desired result follows immediately since $ {\mathbb{P}}(\omega: \omega \leq F(x)) = F(x)$. (Recall that $ \lambda$ is Lebesgue measure on (0,1) and that $ F$ is increasing, so that $ \lambda\left(\omega: \omega \leq F(x)\right) = \sup \{\omega: \omega \leq F(x)\}$.) To check the set equality above, note that if $ \omega \leq F(x)$ then $ X(\omega) \leq x$, since $ x \notin \{y: F(y)<\omega\}$. On the other hand, if $ \omega>F(x)$, then since $ F$ is right continuous, there exists an $ \epsilon>0$ so that $ F(x + \epsilon)<\omega$ and $ X(\omega) \geq x + \epsilon>x$. $ \qedsymbol$

Having proved the existence of a r.v. $ X$ with distribution function $ F$, the uniqueness can be checked by Dynkin's $ \pi-\lambda$ Theorem. See Appendix A.2 in Durrett (in particular, Theorem 2.2) for further details.

References

Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples (Third Edition), Section 1.2.